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  • Leo Ashe

Why Trump Will EASILY LOSE - 2020 EP 1

Updated: May 30, 2019

The biggest question on everyone’s mind is: Who can beat Donald Trump in 2020?


But, spoiler alert: Unless Hillary Clinton runs again, EVERY Democrat would most likely beat Donald Trump!


As a 72 year old white man who has known nothing but wealth and privilege — thanks to his daddy — Donald J. Trump may be as senile, as he is full of shit.


He's basically a comical hodgepodge of every two-dimensional, douchebag caricature Hollywood has ever thrown at us. A man with the maturity of Michael Scott, the ethics of Eric Cartman, and the business acumen of Billy Madison.

  

Plus, Trump isn’t even a conservative! He’s too stupid, or senile, to have an ideology. And he’s definitely not a Christian… Forget the fact that Trump is NOTHING like Jesus, that man ain't NEVER read the bible!


Regardless, I’m confident Trump will lose in 2020 because of his greatest kryptonite: MATH!


So to win any presidential campaign, one candidate must secure 270 votes in the electoral college. Now, here’s the 2016 map, and as you can see, Trump won 306 to 232.



And that seems like a big victory, but in reality, it was entirely based on just barely winning 3 states that almost always vote Democrat: Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.


Or what I call the Three Musketeers, because like the Three Musketeers... they suck!


Side Note: Why do the Three Musketeers always fight with swords?! You’re the "MUSKET-TEERS"! Just shoot anyone with a sword!


Anyway, since it’s very unlikely that ANY democratic candidate would lose a state that Hillary Clinton won in 2016, the real 2020 question should be: which candidate would most likely win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. And based on the math, the most likely answer is... ALL OF THEM!


Let’s take one quick and easy example: Bernie Sanders.


Based on the data, anyone who thinks Bernie would have lost against Trump in 2016 is either ignorant, disingenuous, or Hillary! Let me prove it real quick: 


  1. Bernie beat Hillary in the Michigan and Wisconsin Democratic primaries.

  2. Jill Stein — who probably wouldn’t have run against Bernie — got more votes in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, then the amount by which Trump beat Hillary in each of those states.

  3. Most importantly: Studies show that enough voters in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin switched their allegiance from Bernie to Trump, to otherwise swing the election to Bernie.


So Bernie probably would have won in 2016, but he, and all of the other Democratic candidates, are even MORE likely to win in 2020. Because in 2016, an outsider business executive seemed like a fresh and interesting idea. But much like joining ISIS, some interesting ideas, don’t turn out so well…


And now that America has toyed with the idea of a Trump presidency, clearly the large majority of us feel nothing but the sort of shame you get when you wake up next to someone you swore you’d never sleep with, but you were drunk and desperate, and you’d been with a black guy for 8 great years, and you really wanted to spice things up with another dumb racist white dude with a small dick. We've all been there!


Anyway, the point is: based on the results of polling and 2019, when Republicans were trounced in congressional races across the Midwest, I definitely wouldn’t put MY money on Trump in 2020.


But before we go any further... I need to be honest about something real quick: I was a delegate for Bernie Sanders at the 2016 DNC Convention. And despite campaigning for Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania during the general, I voted for Jill Stein.


Not because I actually support Jill Stein, but because I’m from NJ, so I knew Hillary would win regardless, and I wanted to send a message to the Democratic Party. Had I lived in PA, I would have voted for Hillary.


Regardless, the point is, Democrats lost in 2016 because, for some bizarre reason, both political parties thought it'd be fun to nominate the worst political candidates in modern history, and, ya know… see what happens!


And since everyone, including Trump, was expecting Hillary to win, a lot of people either stayed home or voted 3rd party, because they didn’t want to vote for Hillary Clinton!


Maybe it was due to her pattern of following polls over integrity, her largely banal yet ongoing FBI investigation, her terrible judgment on foreign policy, or the fact that she basically took the Democratic Party hostage because she felt entitled to a presidential coronation before ascending the throne.


But justifications aside, that won’t happen again in 2020. However, let me be clear: That does NOT mean Democrats should be over-confident! Because we ALL know the Democratic Party's post-2016 slogan: “If anyone can fuck up an easy thing, the DEMOCRATS can!”.


That said, progressives shouldn't give an inch to anyone who says we should elect a moderate because they're the only ones who can plausibly beat Trump… BULLSHIT! These are talking points that Joe Biden and the Democratic establishment want you to believe, but it’s just not true.

So if ALL of the Democratic candidates are likely to beat Trump, then the REAL 2020 question should be:


  1. Who is the BEST presidential candidate? AND

  2. Who would most help Democrats retake the Senate?


And that is what I will cover in my next episode, where WARNING: I’m really gonna nerd out and meticulously analyze the only five candidates that have a REAL shot of winning the Democratic primary.


But until then… Please check out my video below, subscribe to my channel, and let me know what YOU think in the comments below,..


I’m Leo Ashe, stay angry my friends! #AlwaysAngry


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“That's what I do. I smoke weed, and I forget things!” 

-- Leo Lannister